US Dollar Index (DXY)

[Freak]

DXY Weekly

[theDon]

Nice Chart!

[Freak]

DXY Daily Idee

[Freak]

DXY Weekly

Update von meinem Chart oben. Jetzt befinden wir uns wieder an der Medianline.

[Meerkat]

DXY im Moment 97.09
Aus dem Bloomberg Newsletter
A Crash in the Dollar Is Coming

The era of the U.S. dollar’s “exorbitant privilege” as the world’s primary reserve currency is coming to an end. Then French Finance Minister Valery Giscard d’Estaing coined that phrase in the 1960s largely out of frustration, bemoaning a U.S. that drew freely on the rest of the world to support its over-extended standard of living. For almost 60 years, the world complained but did nothing about it. Those days are over.

Already stressed by the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic, U.S. living standards are about to be squeezed as never before. At the same time, the world is having serious doubts about the once widely accepted presumption of American exceptionalism. Currencies set the equilibrium between these two forces — domestic economic fundamentals and foreign perceptions of a nation’s strength or weakness. The balance is shifting, and a crash in the dollar could well be in the offing.

The seeds of this problem were sown by a profound shortfall in domestic U.S. savings that was glaringly apparent before the pandemic. In the first quarter of 2020, net national saving, which includes depreciation-adjusted saving of households, businesses and the government sector, fell to 1.4% of national income. This was the lowest reading since late 2011 and one-fifth the average of 7% from 1960 to 2005.

[Meerkat]

Das mit dem USD könnte spannend werden. Bloomberg Newsletter. wieder vom gleichen Autor (Stephen Roach)
How the Coming Crash in the Dollar Will Unfold

Scorn has long been heaped on those daring to question the supremacy of the U.S. dollar as the world’s dominant reserve currency. I certainly received more than my fair share in reaction to a column I recently wrote for Bloomberg Opinion on the likelihood of a sharp decline in the greenback. The counter-arguments were strong and highly political, basically boiling down to the so-called TINA defense – that when it comes to the dollar, “there is no alternative.”

That argument is very important in one critical sense: The dollar, like any foreign-exchange rate, is a relative price. As such, it encapsulates a broad constellation of a nation’s value proposition — economic, financial, social, and political — as viewed against comparable characterizations of other nations. It follows that shifts in foreign-exchange rates capture changes in these relative comparisons — the U.S. versus Europe, the U.S. versus Japan, the U.S. versus China, and so on.

My forecast that a 35% decline in the value of dollar could well be in the offing is couched in terms of the comparison between the U.S. and the currencies of a broad basket of America’s trading partners.

Der Artikel enthält noch weitere interessante Ueberlegungen zu den im DXY enthaltenen Währungen resp. deren Länder. Das Gewicht u.a. von EUR ist 57.6 %, das von CHF 3.6 %

[CrashGuru]

Das mit dem USD könnte spannend werden. Bloomberg Newsletter. wieder vom gleichen Autor (Stephen Roach)
How the Coming Crash in the Dollar Will Unfold

Den Artikel werde ich mir reinziehen. Habe ich erst heute entdeckt. Aber dürfte sich lohnen. Allerdings, gehört der nicht auf die Witzseite? Wie alle, die das momentane Börsengeschehen beschreiben

[theDon]

DXY Weekly - falls die Formation stimmt, wird es 2021 ungemütlich für die Dollarsensitiven Werte

[theDon]

DXY Weekly - falls die Formation stimmt, wird es 2021 ungemütlich für die Dollarsensitiven Werte

Dollar Index +0.5% !!!

Und man sehe sich die "Verwerfungen" aktuell an - KOPFSCHUETTEL !

[theDon]

Update - noch in der Formation - und JA, er kann noch weiter runter und sogar nach unten aus der Formation "fallen" - Spannend!